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How could or should we regulate land transport in the future?

Land Transport Regulation 2040

NTC’s strategic analysis work

As part of the outcomes of the 2015 review of the NTC, we have been directed by the Transport and Infrastructure Council to continue to focus on higher level strategic policy work.

In response, we have added a strategic analysis stream to our work program. The aim of this strategic work is to understand the trends, influences and changes in society that will impact on Australia’s transport system.

Through our infrastructure investment, funding mechanisms and the regulatory framework, we are making decisions today that affect the future of the system. These decisions are based on our views about the future and the more we know, the better our decisions will be. Better decisions will lead to improved productivity, safety and environmental performance of Australia’s transport system.

The first project within this stream of work was Land Transport Regulation 2040, which was completed in June 2017. 

Land Transport Regulation 2040

The key strategic question for this work was: How could or should we regulate land transport in the future?

The aim of the work was not to provide definitive long-term solutions. Instead, the aim was to discuss and explore plausible futures so that we can prepare for the unknown changes and challenges that are ahead for Australia’s transport system. To help the conversations and discussions, we used a tool called scenario planning that generated four plausible futures.

These plausible futures were used to challenge our assumptions about the future. The scenarios and two foundation papers were released in October 2016 and these are available below. The NTC used these materials to hold workshops and meeting around Australia.

For more information, see the LTR2040 project page

We would like to continue the conversation about future land transport regulations and future transport. Please feel free to contact us at


Last Updated: 15/11/2018